1st Round Playoff Projections

Today’s article is going to be short, as I am working on getting everyone’s schedule up on the website so the entire season’s predictions can be posted. Below is the predictions for every playoff game, while the full rankings will be up on these new pages, underneath the Rankings section on our Main Page. For the Top 5 in each class, I have listed them at the bottom.

So without further ado, here is the predictions for all the games in the 605 this week. Last week, the computer was 41 for 51 in predicting the correct winner, with 19-25 (11-Man) and 22-26 (9-Man) splits. We had two perfect predictions with EP-J versus Tri-Valley (41 pts.) and HC/B versus Timber Lake (22 pts.). Overall, it was a pretty successful weekend for the computer. But that was last week, and we aren’t here to talk about the past. Let’s get into this week’s matchups.

I do want to point out that although there is only 1 upset prediction for the playoffs, any game that has a margin of victory that is one score or less starts on upset watch. Also, margin of victory is maxed out to 50 points for the mercy rule.

While these projections are based off of regular season results, predicting a perfect score can be very tough. These are expected results, with most games finishing in a ballpark area of our projections.

-TK


11B

Projected Winner in BOLD

HomeAwayMargin of Victory
#1 Winner#16 Lead-Deadwood50.00
#2 Roncalli#15 Mobridge-Pollock26.25
#3 EP-J#14 Tri-Valley48.44
#4 MV/P#13 RC Christian16.39
#5 MC/M#12 Sioux Valley17.72
#6 W/WS/SC#11 Redfield1.74
#7 Hot Springs#10 B-E/E8.58
#8 Deuel#9 St. Thomas More10.67

9AA

Projected Winner in BOLD

HomeAwayMargin of Victory
#1 Wall#16 Stanley County50.00
#2 Elkton-Lake Benton#15 Kimball/White Lake22.53
#3 Howard#14 Britton-Hecla45.23
#4 Hamlin#13 Viborg-Hurley20.32
#5 Hanson#12 Platte-Geddes13.68
#6 Parkston#11 Leola/Frederick Area27.39
#7 F/M/FA#10 Florence/Henry7.28
#8 Bon Homme#9 Ipswich16.01

9A

Projected Winner in BOLD

HomeAwayMargin of Victory
#1 Warner#16 Burke41.74
#2 Lyman#15 O-R/R50.00
#3 Gregory#14 Iroquois/Lake Preston50.00
#4 HC/B#13 Chester Aea35.30
#5 Philip#12 Estelline/Hendricks26.00
#6 Wolsey-Wessington#11 Deubrook Area18.48
#7 Castlewood#10 Timber Lake12.01
#8 Alcester-Hudson#9 Canistota18.00

9B

Projected Winner in BOLD

HomeAwayMargin of Victory
#1 Herreid/Selby Area#16 Lemmon/McIntosh43.84
#2 Hitchcock-Tulare#15 Jones County40.10
#3 Kadoka Area#14 New Underwood33.01
#4 Sully Buttes#13 Potter County23.14
#5 Corsica-Stickney#12 Irene-Wakonda2.82
#6 De Smet#11 Colome25.95
#7 Faith#10 St. Mary9.16
#8 Avon#9 Faulkton Area3.58

REGULAR SEASON
Projected Winner in BOLD

Home (AAA/AA)AwayMargin of Victory
WashingtonBrandon Valley13.84
AberdeenLincoln16.08
O’GormanHarrisburg0.74
StevensRC Central20.40
JeffersonRoosevelt36.79
WatertownTea Area38.04
YanktonHuron25.58
DouglasPierre50.00
BrookingsMitchell10.23
SpearishSturgis10.91
Home (A)AwayMargin of Victory
CantonChamberlain31.04
MilbankWest Central34.30
LennoxSFC17.32
MadisonCuster49.59
Dakota ValleyDell Rapids8.05
Belle FourcheVermillion10.10
Lakota TechBeresford50.00

TOP 5 RANKINGS

11AAARank+
#1 Jefferson Cavaliers177
#2 Harrisburg Tigers148
#3 O’Gorman Knights146
#4 Lincoln Patriots116
#5 Brandon Valley Lynx109
11AARank+
#1 Pierre Governors216
#2 Tea Area Titans192
#3 Yankton Bucks136
#4 Aberdeen Golden Eagles119
#5 Brookings Bobcats102
11ARank+
#1 West Central Trojans161
#2 Dell Rapids Quarriers157
#3 SFC Chargers149
#4 Beresford Watchdogs142
#5 Dakota Valley Panthers136
11BRank+
#1 EP-J Huskies198
#2 Winner Warriors193
#3 Roncalli Cavaliers164
#4 MC/M Fighting Cougars161
#5 MV/P Titans147
9AARank+
#1 Wall Eagles206
#2 Hanson Beavers168
#3 Bon Homme Cavaliers165
#4 Hamlin Chargers163.8
#5 Parkston Trojans163.3
9ARank+
#1 Gregory Gorillas199
#2 Lyman Raiders184
#3 Warner Monarchs172
#4 Canistota Hawks171
#5 HC/B Ranchers164
9BRank+
#1 Hitchcock-Tulare Patriots173
#2 H/SA Wolverines172
#3 Kadoka Area Kougars163
#4 De Smet Bulldogs147
#5 Avon Pirates124