Notes:
- Rank+ is based off of a teams class. A 100 score is equal to class average.
- Each point increase or decrease is equal to a 1% increase in scoring margin against class average team.
- This does NOT mean a 1 point increase equals a 1 point higher projection on the court. This is because a 1% increase in scoring margin varies by class class.
- Projections will be posted on game days. Please scroll to see a Region-by-Region breakdown.
CLASS RANKINGS
| RANK | TEAM | RECORD | RANK+ |
| 1 | Jefferson | 21-3 | 155.1 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 19-5 | 150.2 |
| 3 | Yankton | 19-5 | 140.6 |
| 4 | Washington | 15-9 | 137.9 |
| 5 | Mitchell | 19-5 | 136.9 |
| 6 | Pierre | 16-8 | 134.7 |
| 7 | Harrisburg | 15-9 | 134.6 |
| 8 | Brandon Valley | 13-7 | 124.3 |
| 9 | Roosevelt | 14-10 | 115.2 |
| 10 | O’Gorman | 7-13 | 106.7 |
| 11 | Watertown | 7-13 | 92.3 |
| 12 | Stevens | 5-15 | 78.7 |
| 13 | Aberdeen | 6-12 | 74.9 |
| 14 | Huron | 7-13 | 73.1 |
| 15 | RC Central | 6-14 | 58.3 |
| 16 | Spearfish | 6-13 | 56.0 |
| 17 | Sturgis | 10-9 | 54.0 |
| 18 | Brookings | 3-17 | 50.7 |
| 19 | Douglas | 6-14 | 25.8 |
STATE TOURNAMENT
| Round | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #1 Jefferson vs #9 Harrisburg | SFJ (5.77) | SFJ (12) |
| Q | #4 Yankton vs #5 Washington | SFW (1.34) | YAN (7) |
| Q | #2 Lincoln vs #7 Roosevelt | SFL (10.88) | SFL (8) |
| Q | #3 Mitchell vs #6 Pierre | PIE (0.09) | MIT (9) |
| C | #5 Washington vs #9 Harrisburg | SFW (2.40) | HAR (10) |
| C | #6 Pierre vs #7 Roosevelt | PIE (5.28) | PIE (10) |
| S | #1 Jefferson vs #4 Yankton | SFJ (4.56) | YAN (3) |
| S | #2 Lincoln vs #3 Mitchell | SFL (4.61) | MIT (2) |
| 7th | #5 Washington vs #7 Roosevelt | SFW (7.10) | SFR (2) |
| 5th | #6 Pierre vs #9 Harrisburg | HAR (0.06) | PIE (1) |
| 3rd | #1 Jefferson vs #2 Lincoln | SFJ (0.75) | SFJ (9) |
| C | #3 Mitchell vs #4 Yankton | YAN (0.76) | YAN (4) |
SODAK 16 PROJECTIONS
| Location | Game | Projection | Result |
| Sioux Falls | #1 Jefferson vs. #16 Stevens | SFJ (21.01) | SFJ (25) |
| Sioux Falls | #2 Lincoln vs. #15 RC Central | SFL (26.78) | SFL (27) |
| Mitchell | #3 Mitchell vs. #14 Watertown | MIT (11.50) | MIT (18) |
| Yankton | #4 Yankton vs. #13 Aberdeen | YAN (17.89) | YAN (16) |
| Sioux Falls | #5 Washington vs. #12 Huron | SFW (18.76) | SFW (18) |
| Pierre | #6 Pierre vs. #11 O’Gorman | PIE (7.34) | PIE (15) |
| Sioux Falls | #7 Roosevelt vs.#10 Sturgis | SFR (17.64) | SFR (14) |
| Brandon | #8 BV vs. #9 Harrisburg | HAR (2.73) | HAR (2) |