Notes:
- Rank+ is based off of a teams class. A 100 score is equal to class average.
- Each point increase or decrease is equal to a 1% increase in scoring margin against class average team.
- This does NOT mean a 1 point increase equals a 1 point higher projection on the court. This is because a 1% increase in scoring margin varies by class class.
- Projections will be posted on game days. Please scroll to see a Region-by-Region breakdown.
CLASS RANKINGS
| RANK | TEAM | RECORD | REGION | RANK+ |
| 1 | Dakota Valley | 26-0 | 4 | 184.3 |
| 2 | SFC | 21-5 | 3 | 171.5 |
| 3 | Sioux Valley | 23-3 | 2 | 167.8 |
| 4 | Tea Area | 14-7 | 4 | 164.1 |
| 5 | Lennox | 17-4 | 4 | 159.9 |
| 6 | Hamlin | 21-4 | 2 | 159.7 |
| 7 | Dell Rapids | 16-6 | 3 | 159.6 |
| 8 | STM | 21-4 | 8 | 152.8 |
| 9 | RC Christian | 20-2 | 8 | 147.0 |
| 10 | C/WL | 15-6 | 2 | 139.7 |
| 11 | EP-J | 18-7 | 4 | 137.5 |
| 12 | Groton Area | 16-6 | 1 | 136.5 |
| 13 | Madison | 14-9 | 3 | 135.3 |
| 14 | MV/P | 18-8 | 5 | 129.9 |
| 15 | Pine Ridge | 18-4 | 7 | 129.6 |
| 16 | Winner | 21-2 | 7 | 127.0 |
| 17 | Hot Springs | 20-6 | 8 | 123.5 |
| 18 | Vermillion | 10-12 | 4 | 123.1 |
| 19 | West Central | 11-11 | 3 | 122.7 |
| 20 | Deuel | 13-8 | 2 | 122.5 |
| 21 | Beresford | 15-6 | 4 | 119.1 |
| 22 | Waubay/Summit | 19-4 | 1 | 115.5 |
| 23 | Red Cloud | 13-9 | 7 | 115.4 |
| 24 | Lakota Tech | 12-10 | 7 | 114.8 |
| 25 | Canton | 9-11 | 4 | 114.8 |
| 26 | Milbank | 14-8 | 1 | 106.5 |
| 27 | Hanson | 15-8 | 5 | 105.4 |
| 28 | Tiospa Zina | 11-10 | 1 | 103.4 |
| 29 | Platte-Geddes | 15-7 | 5 | 101.3 |
| 30 | Parkston | 12-10 | 5 | 100.8 |
| 31 | McLaughlin | 12-9 | 6 | 99.1 |
| 32 | Custer | 8-13 | 8 | 97.6 |
| 33 | Hill City | 9-12 | 8 | 95.1 |
| 34 | Tri-Valley | 5-15 | 3 | 95.0 |
| 35 | Baltic | 9-12 | 3 | 92.1 |
| 36 | Miller | 13-10 | 6 | 91.6 |
| 37 | Belle Fourche | 9-13 | 8 | 90.6 |
| 38 | Todd County | 7-13 | 7 | 89.6 |
| 39 | MC/M | 9-12 | 3 | 88.8 |
| 40 | Roncalli | 9-12 | 1 | 88.8 |
| 41 | Estelline/Hendricks | 11-10 | 2 | 86.0 |
| 42 | Wagner | 8-13 | 5 | 86.0 |
| 43 | Flandreau | 8-13 | 2 | 84.2 |
| 44 | Florence/Henry | 10-11 | 2 | 83.8 |
| 45 | E-LB | 7-15 | 2 | 83.3 |
| 46 | Redfield | 8-13 | 1 | 83.0 |
| 47 | K/WL | 9-12 | 5 | 82.6 |
| 48 | Mobridge-Pollock | 11-11 | 6 | 81.0 |
| 49 | Little Wound | 9-12 | 7 | 78.5 |
| 50 | Crow Creek | 10-12 | 6 | 76.1 |
| 51 | Chamberlain | 6-15 | 5 | 75.4 |
| 52 | SC/W | 6-15 | 5 | 75.0 |
| 53 | GPL | 9-12 | 2 | 71.0 |
| 54 | Parker | 3-18 | 4 | 61.5 |
| 55 | Webster Area | 4-16 | 1 | 60.3 |
| 56 | Bon Homme | 7-15 | 5 | 58.5 |
| 57 | Garretson | 0-21 | 3 | 53.5 |
| 58 | St. Francis Indian | 6-13 | 7 | 53.3 |
| 59 | Stanley County | 3-18 | 6 | 51.3 |
| 60 | C-EB | 2-19 | 6 | 46.5 |
| 61 | Sisseton | 1-20 | 1 | 43.3 |
| 62 | Lead-Deadwood | 4-17 | 8 | 41.7 |
| 63 | North Central | 1-20 | 6 | 32.8 |
| 64 | Dupree | 4-16 | 6 | 31.9 |
| 65 | Bennett County | 0-20 | 7 | 0.0 |
STATE TOURNAMENT
| Round | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #1 Dakota Valley vs #8 H. Springs | DV (29.47) | DV (33) |
| Q | #4 Sioux Valley vs #5 Hamlin | SV (5.43) | HAM (8) |
| Q | #2 STM vs #7 EP-J | STM (7.56) | EPJ (3) |
| Q | #3 SFC vs #6 MV/P | SFC (17.81) | SFC (28) |
| C | #4 Sioux Valley vs #8 H. Springs | SV (22.93) | SV (13) |
| C | #2 STM vs #6 MV/P | STM (9.85) | STM (9) |
| S | #1 Dakota Valley vs #5 Hamlin | DV (11.46) | DV (14) |
| S | #3 SFC vs #7 EP-J | SFC (15.23) | SFC (24) |
| 7th | #6 MV/P vs #8 Hot Springs | MVP (4.54) | HS (10) |
| 5th | #2 STM vs #4 Sioux Valley | SV (7.79) | SV (1) |
| 3rd | #5 Hamlin vs #7 EP-J | HAM (10.24) | HAM (13) |
| C | #1 Dakota Valley vs #3 SFC | DV (6.05) | DV (6) |
SODAK 16 PROJECTIONS
| Location | Game | Projection | Result |
| Harrisburg | #1 DV vs. #16 Miller | DV (42.33) | DV (53) |
| Wall | #2 STM vs. #15 McLaughlin | STM (26.47) | STM (18) |
| Madison | #3 SFC vs. #13 Hanson | SFC (28.86) | SFC (42) |
| Watertown | #4 SV vs. #13 Groton | SV (15.68) | SV (17) |
| Huron | #5 Hamlin vs. #12 Madison | HAM (9.88) | HAM (15) |
| Chamber. | #6 Winner vs. #11 H. Springs | WIN (3.52) | HS (4) |
| Pierre | #7 MV/P vs. #10 P. Ridge | PR (0.32) | MV/P (16) |
| Madison | #8 EP-J vs. #9 W/S | EPJ (10.25) | EPJ (8) |
REGION RESULTS
| 1A | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #8 Sisseton @ #1 W/S | W/S (33.88) | W/S (36) |
| Q | #7 Webster @ #2 Groton | GRO (35.68) | GRO (44) |
| Q | #6 Redfield @ #3 Milbank | MIL (9.25) | MIL (28) |
| Q | #5 Roncalli @ #4 T. Zina | ZINA (7.33) | ZINA (3) |
| S | #4 T. Zina @ #1 W/S | W/S (5.63) | W/S (8) |
| S | #3 Milbank @ #2 Groton | GRO (14.69) | GRO (9) |
| 2A | Game | Projection | Result |
| 1st | #9 E-LB @ #8 Flandreau | FLA (1.12) | E-LB (5) |
| Q | #9 E-LB @ #1 Sioux Valley | SV (41.09) | SV (39) |
| Q | #7 GPL @ #2 Hamlin | HAM (40.51) | HAM (37) |
| Q | #6 F/H @ #3 C/WL | C/WL (26.88) | C/WL (28) |
| Q | #5 E/H @ #4 Deuel | DEU (16.59) | DEU (25) |
| S | #4 Deuel @ #1 Sioux Valley | SV (22.47) | SV (21) |
| S | #3 C/WL @ #2 Hamlin | HAM (7.20) | HAM (20) |
| 3A | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #8 Garretson @ #1 SFC | SFC (54.09) | SFC (49) |
| Q | #7 Tri-Valley @ #2 Dell Rapids | DR (30.96) | DR (33) |
| Q | #6 Baltic @ #3 Madison | MAD (19.51) | MAD (23) |
| Q | #5 MC/M @ #4 W. Central | WC (14.54) | WC (29) |
| S | #4 W. Central @ #1 SFC | SFC (21.23) | SFC (25) |
| S | #3 Madison @ #2 Dell Rapids | DR (12.43) | MAD (7) |
| 4A | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #8 Parker @ #1 Dak Valley | DV (57.20) | DV (54) |
| Q | #7 Vermillion @ #2 Lennox | LNX (18.49) | VERM (4) |
| Q | #6 Canton @ #3 EP-J | EP-J (9.88) | EP-J (9) |
| Q | #5 Beresford @ #4 Tea | TEA (20.44) | TEA (25) |
| S | #4 Tea @ #1 Dak Valley | DV (8.76) | DV (9) |
| S | #7 Vermillion @ #3 EP-J | EP-J (4.81) | EP-J (26) |
| 5A | Game | Projection | Result |
| 1st | #9 Bon Homme @ #8 SC/W | SC/W (10.11) | BH (12) |
| Q | #9 Bon Homme @ #1 MV/P | MV/P (34.14) | MV/P (28) |
| Q | #7 Chamberlain @ #2 P-G | P-G (11.79) | P-G (24) |
| Q | #6 Wagner @ #3 Hanson | HAN (8.66) | HAN (14) |
| Q | #5 K/WL @ #4 Parkston | PAR (9.18) | PAR (9) |
| S | #4 Parkston @ #1 MV/P | MV/P (13.15) | MV/P (21) |
| S | #3 Hanson @ #2 P-G | HAN (1.28) | HAN (13) |
| 6A | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #8 N. Central @ #1 McLaughlin | MCL (30.99) | MCL (34) |
| Q | #7 Stanley Co @ #2 Miller | MIL (20.88) | MIL (12) |
| Q | #6 C-EB @ #3 Crow Creek | CC (12.27) | CC (30) |
| Q | #5 Dupree @ #4 M-P | M-P (23.77) | M-P (22) |
| S | #4 M-P @ #1 McLaughlin | MCL (8.18) | MCL (8) |
| S | #3 Crow Creek @ #2 Miller | MIL (8.19) | MIL (2) |
| 7A | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #8 Bennett Co @ #1 Winner | WIN (61.47) | WIN (55) |
| Q | #7 St. Francis @ #2 Pine Ridge | PR (36.42) | PR (44) |
| Q | #6 Todd Co @ #3 Red Cloud | RC (11.87) | RC (12) |
| Q | #5 Little Wound @ #4 Lakota Tech | LT (16.38) | LT (23) |
| S | #4 Lakota Tech @ #1 Winner | WIN (6.36) | WIN (6) |
| S | #3 Red Cloud @ #2 Pine Ridge | PR (8.06) | PR (3) |
| 8A | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #7 L-D @ #2 RCC | RCC (50.82) | RCC (53) |
| Q | #6 Custer @ #3 H. Springs | HS (8.99) | HS (19) |
| Q | #5 B. Fourche @ #4 Hill City | HILL (3.64) | BF (8) |
| S | #5 B. Fourche @ #1 STM | STM (31.92) | STM (16) |
| S | #3 H. Springs @ #2 RCC | RCC (14.76) | HS (10) |