Notes:
- Rank+ is based off of a teams class. A 100 score is equal to class average.
- Each point increase or decrease is equal to a 1% increase in scoring margin against class average team.
- This does NOT mean a 1 point increase equals a 1 point higher projection on the court. This is because a 1% increase in scoring margin varies by class class.
- Projections will be posted on game days. Please scroll to see a Region-by-Region breakdown.
CLASS RANKINGS
| RANK | TEAM | RECORD | RANK+ |
| 1 | O’Gorman | 17-4 | 165.7 |
| 2 | Pierre | 18-3 | 155.3 |
| 3 | Washington | 18-3 | 154.7 |
| 4 | Jefferson | 17-4 | 150.3 |
| 5 | Brandon Valley | 15-6 | 129.3 |
| 6 | Harrisburg | 16-5 | 125.9 |
| 7 | Stevens | 14-7 | 125.3 |
| 8 | Watertown | 12-9 | 111.0 |
| 9 | Spearfish | 10-10 | 106.0 |
| 10 | Mitchell | 9-12 | 101.2 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 7-12 | 100.6 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8-13 | 99.4 |
| 13 | Huron | 9-12 | 94.3 |
| 14 | Brookings | 5-16 | 82.4 |
| 15 | RC Central | 6-15 | 82.2 |
| 16 | Roosevelt | 1-20 | 53.5 |
| 17 | Yankton | 2-18 | 42.6 |
| 18 | Sturgis | 3-15 | 20.4 |
| 19 | Douglas | 2-18 | 0.0 |
STATE TOURNAMENT PROJECTIONS
| Round | Game | Projection | Result |
| Q | #1 SFW vs. #8 Watertown | SFW (9.91) | SFW (24) |
| Q | #4 SFJ vs. #12 Mitchell | SFJ (13.06) | SFJ (16) |
| Q | #2 Pierre vs. #7 Stevens | PIE (9.45) | PIE (8) |
| Q | #3 OG vs. #6 Harrisburg | OG (12.02) | HAR (12) |
| C | #8 Watertown vs. #12 Mitchell | WAT (3.06) | MIT (11) |
| C | #3 OG vs. #7 Stevens | OG (10.98) | OG (8) |
| S | #1 SFW vs. #4 SFJ | SFW (0.87) | SFW (3) |
| S | #2 Pierre vs. #6 Harrisburg | PIE (8.21) | PIE (14) |
| 7th | #7 Stevens vs. #8 Watertown | RCS (4.35) | RCS (2) |
| 5th | #3 OG vs. #12 Mitchell | OG (16.95) | OG (35) |
| 3rd | #4 Jefferson vs. #6 Harrisburg | SFJ (5.71) | SFJ (21) |
| 1st | #1 Washington vs. #2 Pierre | PIE (1.98) | SFW (18) |
SODAK 16 PROJECTIONS
| Location | Game | Projection | Result |
| Sioux Falls | #1 SFW vs. #16 SFR | SFW (29.21) | SFW (13) |
| Pierre | #2 Pierre vs. #15 Brookings | PIE (21.27) | PIE (26) |
| Sioux Falls | #3 O’Gorman vs. #14 RC Central | OG (23.13) | OG (35) |
| Sioux Falls | #4 SFJ vs. #13 Aberdeen | SFJ (13.28) | SFJ (16) |
| Brandon | #5 BV vs. #12 Mitchell | BV (9.01) | MIT (4) |
| Harrisburg | #6 Harrisburg vs. #11 Spear. | HAR (5.52) | HAR (5) |
| Rapid City | #7 Stevens vs. #10 Huron | RCS (8.34) | RCS (14) |
| Watertown | #8 Watertown vs. #9 SFL | WAT (4.75) | WAT (2) |